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【美国大选2020】选情报告 自202...
 
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【美国大选2020】选情报告 自2020.01.01

 
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最近一次发帖 发布者 Many 6 年 前
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Topic starter 03/01/2020 12:39 下午  

美媒：杨安泽不会获得党内提名 但他的未来可期

文章来源: 独 于 2020-01-03 09:26:58 - 新闻取自各大新闻媒体，新闻内容并不代表本网立场！
(被阅读 562 次
 

据美国政治新闻媒体《国会山报》1月1日作出的民主党内初选提名预测称，美国前总统乔·拜登将获得民主党内最终提名，而之前被热议的候选人华裔企业家杨安泽则排在纽约前市长布隆伯格之后，位列第七，几乎无望。

　　距离爱荷华州党团会议还有大约一个月时间，争取民主党提名的战斗已经接近关键时刻。

　　《国会山报》根据赢得提名的可能性对竞选人选进行了排名。

　　被认为最有可能赢得提名的第排名第一是美国前副总统乔·拜登。他曾于1988年和2008年两度竞选美国总统，但均告失败。拜登今年4月开始竞选以来，一直在全国民调中领先。

　　在平均民调中，这位前副总统比最接近他的挑战者伯尼·桑德斯领先大约10个百分点。

　　事实证明尽管拜登在辩论中表现不佳，受到了对手的攻击，他甚至还受到了川普总统的诽谤，但他的支持率依然比许多观察人士的预测更高、更稳定。

　　排名第二的即是刚经历心脏病发作的参议员伯尼·桑德斯，他恢复之后在俄亥俄州发表了一场令人印象深刻的辩论，获得了极其积极的反馈。但桑德斯也存在弱点，民主党内一些人一直对他怀有敌意。中间派人士经常表示担心，对整个国家而言，他的政策可能过于左了点。

　　排名第三的是参议员伊丽莎白·沃伦。2019年10月，沃伦在民调中领先，与拜登并驾齐驱。但她的快速上位招致了仔细的审查，也导致了竞争对手的猛烈攻击，导致她的排名最近在下降。

　　排名第四的是印第安纳州南本德市市长皮特 (Pete)，到目前为止，他一直是竞选活动中最大的黑马。皮特的吸引力部分建立在他博学多才的媒体形象上。他为民主党选民提供了一种与拜登类似的中间派立场，但采用的是一种更年轻、更有活力的方式。

　　排名第五的是参议员克罗布查(Klobuchar)。她在辩论阶段发挥了有效的作用，但她可能在竞选资金上遇到了困难。

　　排名第六的是亿万富豪、前纽约市长迈克尔·布隆伯格。

　　而之前备受瞩目的华裔精选人杨安泽排名第7，看来希望渺茫。

　　杨安泽开创了自己的先河，他以自己特立独行的风格成为了一名敢于创新的思想家，吸引了足够多的追随者（杨帮）。

　　虽然他不太可能赢得共和党内的提名，但《国会山报》认为，通过本次竞选，他已经为未来的自己搭建了一个积极的参政桥梁。



   
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大选2020 拜登 布隆伯格 民主党 共和党
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Topic starter 06/01/2020 11:09 上午  
http://img.constantcontact.com/letters/images/sys/S.gi f" alt="" width="5" height="1" border="0" hspace="0" vspace="0" />
https://files.constantcontact.com/86e81835401/edeec0c3-0793-4767-ab67-b01e94616768.jp g" width="590" border="0" hspace="5" vspace="5" />
 
 
  

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(1)  

Averaged poll as of Dec 25 from IOWA 

 - our nation's 1st primary in 2020

    • Buttigieg19.7%

 

    • Biden19.1%

 

    • Sanders18.3%

 

    • Warren13.4%
    • Klobuchar6.6%

 

    • Steyer3.3%

 

    • Yang3.0%

 

    • Booker2.9%
    • Gabbard2.1%

 

    • Bloomberg1.9%

 

    • Castro0.8%

 

    • Delaney0.3%
    • Bennet0.3%

 

    • Williamson0.1%

 

  • Patrick0.0%
 

(2) Averaged poll as of Dec 25 from NEW HAMPSHIRE- our nation's                2nd primary in 2020

    • Sanders18.8% 

   

    • Biden17.3%

 

    • Buttigieg15.6%

 

    • Warren13.9%
    • Gabbard4.9%

 

    • Yang4.2%

 

    • Klobuchar3.8%

 

    • Bloomberg3.2%
    • Steyer3.1%

 

    • Booker2.1%

 

    • Castro0.5%

 

    • Williamson0.4%
    • Delaney0.3%

 

    • Bennet0.1%

 

  • Patrick0.0%

 

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Topic starter 06/01/2020 11:16 上午  

2020 Republican Party presidential primaries

Declared major candidates

The following three major candidates have either (a) held public office, (b) been included in a minimum of five independent national polls, or (c) received substantial media coverage.[24][25][26]

 

Name Born Experience Home
state		 Campaign
Announcement date		 Bound
delegates
(hard count)[27]		 Popular
vote[27]		 Contests won[b]
Donald Trump official portrait (cropped).jpg
Donald Trump		 June 14, 1946
(age 73)
Queens, New York		 President of the United States (2017–present)
Businessman, television personality, real estate developer		 Flag of Florida.svg
Florida[29]		 TrumpPenceKAG.png
Campaign

Campaign (informal): February 17, 2017
Campaign (official): June 18, 2019
FEC filing[30]

 19
(0.78%)		 None
(0%)		 1
Hawaii[31]
Congressman Joe Walsh, Nationally Syndicated Radio Host on Stairs (cropped).jpg
Joe Walsh		 December 27, 1961
(age 58)
North Barrington, Illinois		 U.S. representative from IL-08 (2011–2013)
Conservative talk radio host		 Flag of Illinois.svg
Illinois		 Joe Walsh 2020 Logo-black.svg
Campaign

Campaign: August 25, 2019
FEC filing[32]

 0
(0%)		 None
(0%)		 0
William Weld (27787013954) (cropped).jpg
Bill Weld		 July 31, 1945
(age 74)
Smithtown, New York		 Governor of Massachusetts (1991–1997)
Libertarian nominee for Vice President in 2016
Nominee for U.S. Senate from Massachusetts in 1996		 Flag of Massachusetts.svg
Massachusetts		 Bill Weld campaign 2020.png
Campaign

Exploratory committee: February 15, 2019
Campaign: April 15, 2019
FEC filing[33]

 0
(0%)		 None
(0%)		 0

 

Besides the three major candidates, more than 100 others who have not met the criteria above to be deemed major have also filed with the Federal Election Commission to run for president in the 2020 Republican Party primaries.[34] Other notable candidates who remain active in the campaign include:

On the ballot in one or more states

Minor Republican candidates
Party Candidate Votes % ±
  Republican Robert Ardini      
  Republican Bob Ely      
  Republican Rocky de la Fuente      
  Republican Zoltan Istvan      
  Republican Star Locke      
  Republican Matthew John Matern      
  Republican "President" R. Boddie      
  Republican Stephen B. Comley, Sr.      
  Republican Rick Kraft      
  Republican Mary Maxwell      
  Republican Eric Merrill      
  Republican William N. Murphy      
  Republican Juan Payne      

Not on the ballot anywhere

  • Jack Fellure, retired engineer; Prohibition nominee for President in 2012[35]
  • Augustus Sol Invictus, attorney, white nationalist, and far-right activist[36][37]

Withdrew before the primaries

The candidate in this section was a major candidate who withdrew or suspended his campaign before the 2020 Republican primary elections began.

Candidate Born Experience State Campaign
announced		 Campaign
suspended		 Article Ref.
Mark Sanford (12370) (cropped).jpg
Mark Sanford		 May 28, 1960
(age 59)
Fort Lauderdale, Florida		 U.S. representative from SC-01 (1995–2001, 2013–2019)
Governor of South Carolina (2003–2011)		 Flag of South Carolina.svg
South Carolina		 September 8, 2019 November 12, 2019 Mark Sanford 2020.png
Campaign
FEC filing[38]		 [18][19]


   
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Topic starter 06/01/2020 11:49 下午  

黑帮的黑色理想：

linsey graham反复无常，原因可能是认为流氓黑帮特朗普是上帝派来的实现自己说不出口的理想的人。让魔鬼实现自己难以启齿的下流理想，于是为虎作伥，不亦乐乎？

Graham ran his first and only presidential campaign between June and December 2015, dropping out before the 2016 Republican primaries began.[15][3] He was an outspoken critic of fellow Republican Donald Trump's 2016 candidacy and repeatedly declared he did not support Trump;[16] in particular, he took issue with Trump's comments on Graham's close friend, Senator John McCain.[17] Since March 2017, Graham has reversed his stance on Trump and has become a staunch ally of the president, often issuing public statements in his defense. His reversal caught both parties by surprise and sparked much media attention.[17][18]



   
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